“The object of waging a war is always to be in a better position in which to wage another war.” George Orwell, 1984
One of Trump’s major campaign promises was that there would be no more “Forever Wars”. It was a potent motivation for many who supported him as the country was both exhausted and depressed after years in Iraq and Afghanistan with no difference in the outcome had we not been involved, similar to the Viet Nam War. The waste of resources, both human and financial, was staggering for all these wars, and were followed by periods of weak economies; none of them were constitutional or had clear reasons or coherent goals.
Despite Trump’s promises, and his denial that the Iran War will be forever, here we are again in a war that was supposed to be over months ago; it has no constitutional legitimacy, but it does have a valid claim to a clear and present danger, with very specific goals. However, as much as we are “winning” militarily, we don’t seem to be getting anywhere; it seems stuck in a cycle of war on and off, on and off… with endless peace negotiations in between that also don’t seem to be getting anywhere. As Will Rogers once observed, “Every war has been preceded by a peace conference. That’s what always starts the next war.”
In the meantime, The Russo-Ukrainian war began in February 2014 and rages on now for more than twelve years. Despite reports that Ukraine has now gotten the upper hand, the fact is that Russia is in effect at war with NATO who has been the main support for Ukraine, which in a way makes Ukraine their proxy. This support has no legitimate basis as Ukraine is not a member of NATO, but rest on the claim of defending democracy against an authoritarian regime, despite the fact that Ukraine is actually ruled by an oligarchy of Neo-Nazis who refuse to hold elections and who control all the media. As Aleksander Solzhenitsyn insightfully observed, “A state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.” Further, does anyone really expect Ukraine to ever be able to repay its supporters?
Some clarifications need to be considered, namely The War Powers Resolution of 1973 and the clear and present danger regarding Iran. The former was actually proposed as a way to limit the executive branch’s war powers when in effect it provided a work around for it to do so; there is no constitutional amendment altering the mandate for congressional approval for war. The latter is based on intelligence that Iran was close to acquiring nuclear weapons which it would use against Israel and the West; given Iran’s historical insatiable lust for destruction, we should give that position credibility.
What is lost in all the above is the fact that Americans have yet to recognize that the political narrative of the US as the world’s policeman due to its status as a superpower, a narrative that is bipartisan, is essentially flawed. Here are the words of one of America’s most famous leaders in WWII, General Douglas McArthur: “Talk of imminent threat to our national security through the application of external force is pure nonsense. Indeed, it is a part of the general patterns of misguided policy that our country is now geared to an arms economy which was bred in an artificially induced psychosis of war hysteria and nurtured upon an incessant propaganda of fear. While such an economy may produce a sense of seeming prosperity for the moment, it rests on an illusionary foundation of complete unreliability and renders among our political leaders almost a greater fear of peace than is their fear of war.”
Many people were shocked at McArthur’s statement given his military background and together with other differences he had with Truman, were assumed to be the basis for his dismissal. What should be remembered by this episode and Eisenhower’s warnings regarding the “Military Industrial Complex” are borne out by the fact that both men saw the basis for what we now call “Forever Wars”. The United States has foreign military bases in more than 160 countries, i.e., war is a racket supported by fears created by politicians causing the US to get involved with geopolitical feuds between nations all over the world, few if any of which require the United States to choose sides.
It is an historical fact that many wars are preceded by periods of protectionism with their trade disputes, tariffs, and sanctions; this coupled with some vague moralizing narratives like saving democracy, have led the US to policies contrary to the original American tradition of foreign non-intervention. Whatever we call America’s interests should be defined only as they represent protecting American lives and sovereignty; anything else represents the failed policies that have given us endless wars and a debt greater now than our GDP. We’ve been doing this same thing over and over again and expecting a different result like Einstein’s definition of insanity. Interestingly, while the US regards China as the greatest threat to peace, following our normalized relations with China in 1979, the US has been involved in forever wars while China has not.
In Garet Garrett’s “Hallmarks of Empire”, he lists as the fourth one “a system of satellite nations” with which “for any one of them to involve us in war it is necessary only for the Executive Power in Washington to decide that its defense is somehow essential to the security of the United States.” What is necessary to address these false narratives is for Americans to understand that they are propaganda in service to special interests. What ultimately pays for these wars are taxes, but as Thomas Paine once observed “Taxes are not raised to carry on wars, but that wars are raised to carry on taxes.” However, those taxes are often hidden in the manipulations of central banking, and in the US that’s the Federal Reserve, which usually results in inflation as the war debt is monetized. Where does this all lead is not certain, but we will certainly pay the price.
“War involves in its progress such a train of unforeseen circumstances that no human wisdom can calculate the end; it has but one thing certain, and that is to increase taxes.” Thomas Paine
