“Politicians and diapers must be changed often and for the same reason.” Mark Twain
Depending on their political affiliations, all mass and social media claim that the 2026 midterm election results will be catastrophic. Objectively, this may or may not be another “rinse-and-repeat”. Remember the 1992 presidential campaign? We were at war in Iraq, the economy was trying to recover from recession, and both social activism and the national debt were big news. Bill Clinton was considered a long shot and indeed seemed clueless amid all the angst; then his presidential campaign strategist James Carville coined the famous political axiom, “It’s the economy, stupid!” Bush didn’t catch on, but Clinton did and won.
While this upcoming midterm election is not presidential, Trump is making it all about himself; like Bush, he’s at war, both in trade and in Iran. It is true that the Biden administration is responsible for the egregious inflation, crime, failed immigration, and truly creepy social policies, all of which the Trump administration has done some good to correct, but war and tariffs have eroded what should have been an historic reversal of midterm losses for incumbents. Trump forgot about Carville’s axiom, and his promise to his MAGA base that there would be no more wars or deficits and the economy would boom; well, while Wall Street is booming, Main Street is stalling, and that puts the midterms in play.
Predictably both Democrats and Republicans throw partisan labels around as campaign strategy; true, the Democratic Party is in a civil war with their own Democratic Socialists, a self-inflicted wound, as is the Republican Party’s betrayal of their promises to their MAGA base. What’s at stake is not only who will control our national legislature, but who will do less harm; there’s another famous axiom about politics, this from P. J. O’Rourke, a sorely missed journalist who said, “When buying and selling are controlled by legislation, the first things to be bought and sold are legislators.” Adding insult to injury, the amount of fraud, no longer in the thousands or even millions, but billions of taxpayer dollars underscore O’Rourke’s observation.
The more this race becomes a toss-up, the more the outcome will likely result in serious social distress, regardless of who wins. Both parties spew partisan hyperbole on all the issues involved like A.I., energy, war, fraud, climate, immigration, gender identity, crime, terror, etc., and both are guilty of catastrophizing the outcome if the other party should win. While socialism is always a bad idea, war and tariffs are part of it. What we have here is another case of the American people having to choose between the lesser of two evils, creating social anxiety that things could get worse, a condition that Aristotle describes as “Fear is pain arising from the anticipation of evil.”
The polls provide no real clarity as to where the election is headed but do provide politicians the opportunity to “adjust” their positions to suit whatever popular sentiment the polls imply; some of these adjustments are blatant reversals, some plagiarized policies even of the competition, and some disingenuous proposals meant to confuse the electorate into thinking there’s merit where there’s only narrative. The one thing the polls have clarified is that extremists have taken control of both major parties such to a degree that those who don’t conform to their positions are denounced as traitors, racists, or are themselves radicals for not being obedient apparatchiks as in the old Soviet society.
The polls also show a huge increase in those that claim to be independents; this has been defined curiously as anyone who is “undecided”, which given the current political state of play provides no coherent definition at all. However, I’ll go with P. J. O’Rourke’s definition that, “An independent is a person who doesn’t know what to think and is proud of it.” While O’Rourke’s definition is humorous, it’s also tragic; it implies ignorance, perhaps even willful of those existential principles that define our republic, as if such things don’t even matter. Some independents may be those that given the current political state of play find participation repulsive and don’t bother voting; that is truly tragic as it undermines the very concept of representative government. I am hopeful that Americans will use their common sense and not only get out and vote this midterm but make sure they vote based on those existential principles.
“Anyway, no drug, not even alcohol, causes the fundamental ills of society. If we’re looking for the source of our troubles, we shouldn’t test people for drugs, we should test them for stupidity, ignorance, greed and love of power.” P. J. O’Rourke
